Opening at 3500 tomorrow, interpretation of economic conference1. In 2025, a proactive fiscal policy will be implemented that exceeds market expectations. It is estimated that the fiscal deficit ratio will exceed 4%, and I predict it will be about 4.5%.4. The persistence and strength of the market will mainly depend on the performance of the big financial brokers and the length of the K-line of the stock index entity.
2. In my opinion, the advantages are mainly reflected in the fact that the management will continue to adhere to the general direction of expanding reform and opening up and vigorously developing the economy, and the loose monetary policy and proactive fiscal policy are also appropriate. It is my expectation to increase and improve people's livelihood and enhance people's sense of gain, happiness and security. I think this content is good, and the key lies in the implementation of specific measures and policies to achieve the above goals. Therefore, the content of the follow-up meeting may be more critical.Operational recommendations:2. It is expected that the Shanghai stock market will open above 3,500 points tomorrow. If it opens above 3,550 points, it is not recommended to chase up. For heavy investors, you can consider cashing in some chips when you are high, and then waiting for companies with good mid-line layout after falling back.
1. The wording of proactive fiscal policy and deficit shows the determination to exceed expectations, and other contents are basically in line with my expectations. It is reasonable for the market to interpret it as a major positive, and the positive reaction of foreign capital may be related to its large-scale layout of China assets and call options in the early stage.My interpretation and evaluation: